Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global systems, point to a peak temperature in Moscow on June 21 near 22–24°C under moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover ahead of the summer solstice. This reflects a post-heatwave moderation following earlier June maxima near 30°C, with limited warm-air advection and potential for daytime heating tempered by increasing moisture and light winds. Trader consensus across closely bunched outcomes (22°C at 31.5% implied probability leading) captures model spread in exact timing of any frontal passage or insolation, while probabilities for 25°C or higher remain lower due to climatological baselines around 22°C and recent cooling trends. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on June 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 21?
24°C 33%
23°C 32%
25°C 16%
22°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 juin 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
12%
23°C
32%
24°C
33%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
23°C 32%
25°C 16%
22°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 juin 2026
18°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$128 Vol.
1%
21°C
$708 Vol.
2%
22°C
$328 Vol.
12%
23°C
$83 Vol.
32%
24°C
$134 Vol.
33%
25°C
$65 Vol.
16%
26°C
$186 Vol.
6%
27°C
$221 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$281 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global systems, point to a peak temperature in Moscow on June 21 near 22–24°C under moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover ahead of the summer solstice. This reflects a post-heatwave moderation following earlier June maxima near 30°C, with limited warm-air advection and potential for daytime heating tempered by increasing moisture and light winds. Trader consensus across closely bunched outcomes (22°C at 31.5% implied probability leading) captures model spread in exact timing of any frontal passage or insolation, while probabilities for 25°C or higher remain lower due to climatological baselines around 22°C and recent cooling trends. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$2,588Date de fin
21 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global systems, point to a peak temperature in Moscow on June 21 near 22–24°C under moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover ahead of the summer solstice. This reflects a post-heatwave moderation following earlier June maxima near 30°C, with limited warm-air advection and potential for daytime heating tempered by increasing moisture and light winds. Trader consensus across closely bunched outcomes (22°C at 31.5% implied probability leading) captures model spread in exact timing of any frontal passage or insolation, while probabilities for 25°C or higher remain lower due to climatological baselines around 22°C and recent cooling trends. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,588Date de fin
21 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global systems, point to a peak temperature in Moscow on June 21 near 22–24°C under moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover ahead of the summer solstice. This reflects a post-heatwave moderation following earlier June maxima near 30°C, with limited warm-air advection and potential for daytime heating tempered by increasing moisture and light winds. Trader consensus across closely bunched outcomes (22°C at 31.5% implied probability leading) captures model spread in exact timing of any frontal passage or insolation, while probabilities for 25°C or higher remain lower due to climatological baselines around 22°C and recent cooling trends. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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