Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?

juin 17

juin 18

juin 19

juin 17

juin 18

juin 19

31°C 36%

30°C 30%

29°C 16%

32°C 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

31°C 36%

30°C 30%

29°C 16%

32°C 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

25°C or below

$375 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$185 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$783 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$531 Vol.

3%

29°C

$1,009 Vol.

16%

30°C

$2,979 Vol.

30%

31°C

$2,047 Vol.

36%

32°C

$1,009 Vol.

15%

33°C

$643 Vol.

4%

34°C

$394 Vol.

1%

35°C or higher

$772 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s peak temperature on June 19 will hinge on the strength of southwesterly monsoon flow and the timing of showers or thunderstorms, which can suppress afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory’s current guidance points to a 27–31°C range under mainly cloudy skies with a moderate southerly airstream, while the broader June–August seasonal outlook from the same agency favors above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 30°C and 31°C outcomes, recognizing that even modest shifts in convective initiation or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction before the period closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,883
Date de fin
19 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s peak temperature on June 19 will hinge on the strength of southwesterly monsoon flow and the timing of showers or thunderstorms, which can suppress afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory’s current guidance points to a 27–31°C range under mainly cloudy skies with a moderate southerly airstream, while the broader June–August seasonal outlook from the same agency favors above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 30°C and 31°C outcomes, recognizing that even modest shifts in convective initiation or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction before the period closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,883
Date de fin
19 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31°C » à 36%, suivi de « 30°C » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19? » est « 31°C » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30°C » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.