Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 17 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 17 juin ?
35°C 35%
34°C 28%
36°C 23%
33°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 juin 2026
32°C ou moins
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
28%
35°C
35%
36°C
23%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 28%
36°C 23%
33°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 juin 2026
32°C ou moins
$63 Vol.
3%
33°C
$5 Vol.
6%
34°C
$81 Vol.
28%
35°C
$63 Vol.
35%
36°C
$37 Vol.
23%
37°C
$30 Vol.
4%
38°C
$7 Vol.
4%
39°C
$41 Vol.
1%
40°C
$240 Vol.
1%
41°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
42°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$452Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$452Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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