Recent forecasts from INMET and global models indicate a cold front has advected cooler maritime air into São Paulo, with persistent cloud cover and showers expected to limit daytime insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 18°C on June 15. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting the balance between modest radiational warming under broken clouds and the frontal system's suppression of typical June highs around 21–23°C. Key variables include exact timing of frontal passage, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects at official observation sites; any clearer skies could push readings toward 19°C, while heavier rain would reinforce the lower end of the distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 15 juin ?
18°C 42%
17°C 34%
19°C 16%
16°C 6.2%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
34%
18°C
42%
19°C
16%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 42%
17°C 34%
19°C 16%
16°C 6.2%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
34%
18°C
42%
19°C
16%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from INMET and global models indicate a cold front has advected cooler maritime air into São Paulo, with persistent cloud cover and showers expected to limit daytime insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 18°C on June 15. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting the balance between modest radiational warming under broken clouds and the frontal system's suppression of typical June highs around 21–23°C. Key variables include exact timing of frontal passage, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects at official observation sites; any clearer skies could push readings toward 19°C, while heavier rain would reinforce the lower end of the distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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