Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a cloudy day with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, keeping maximum temperatures capped near 29–30°C. This aligns with seasonal above-normal warmth but moderated by high humidity (around 80–95%) and limited solar heating, positioning these two outcomes as the clear market leaders with combined 99% implied probability. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet today's specific synoptic pattern reduces upside risk of reaching 31°C or higher, while the low probability assigned to cooler readings reflects the persistent warmth and lack of significant cooling mechanisms. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 14 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 14 juin ?
29°C 48%
30°C 47%
31°C 3.1%
32°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$126,167 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$126,167 Vol.
14 juin 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
48%
30°C
47%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 48%
30°C 47%
31°C 3.1%
32°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$126,167 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$126,167 Vol.
14 juin 2026
23°C ou moins
$618 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,398 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,160 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$30,700 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$28,991 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21,164 Vol.
48%
30°C
$10,610 Vol.
47%
31°C
$9,755 Vol.
3%
32°C
$9,524 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou plus
$6,842 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a cloudy day with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, keeping maximum temperatures capped near 29–30°C. This aligns with seasonal above-normal warmth but moderated by high humidity (around 80–95%) and limited solar heating, positioning these two outcomes as the clear market leaders with combined 99% implied probability. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet today's specific synoptic pattern reduces upside risk of reaching 31°C or higher, while the low probability assigned to cooler readings reflects the persistent warmth and lack of significant cooling mechanisms. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$126,167Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a cloudy day with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, keeping maximum temperatures capped near 29–30°C. This aligns with seasonal above-normal warmth but moderated by high humidity (around 80–95%) and limited solar heating, positioning these two outcomes as the clear market leaders with combined 99% implied probability. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet today's specific synoptic pattern reduces upside risk of reaching 31°C or higher, while the low probability assigned to cooler readings reflects the persistent warmth and lack of significant cooling mechanisms. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$126,167Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a cloudy day with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, keeping maximum temperatures capped near 29–30°C. This aligns with seasonal above-normal warmth but moderated by high humidity (around 80–95%) and limited solar heating, positioning these two outcomes as the clear market leaders with combined 99% implied probability. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet today's specific synoptic pattern reduces upside risk of reaching 31°C or higher, while the low probability assigned to cooler readings reflects the persistent warmth and lack of significant cooling mechanisms. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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