Recent ensemble forecasts from Mexican meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Mexico City on June 15 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by typical early rainy-season conditions with moderate insolation, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and light convective showers that limit peak heating. Mexico City’s high-altitude basin location produces rapid diurnal temperature swings, while the current steering pattern favors southeasterly flow that keeps humidity elevated and caps surface warming below late-spring heatwave levels. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 25°C and 26°C contracts aligns with this narrow forecast range, with lower-probability tails for 23°C or 27°C+ hinging on whether model runs shift toward stronger moisture or clearer skies in the final 24-hour update window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 15 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 15 juin ?
25°C 33%
26°C 26%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
33%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C ou plus
1%
25°C 33%
26°C 26%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
20°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$235 Vol.
1%
22°C
$202 Vol.
3%
23°C
$15 Vol.
5%
24°C
$45 Vol.
16%
25°C
$56 Vol.
33%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$33 Vol.
8%
28°C
$47 Vol.
2%
29°C
$107 Vol.
1%
30°C ou plus
$186 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Mexican meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Mexico City on June 15 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by typical early rainy-season conditions with moderate insolation, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and light convective showers that limit peak heating. Mexico City’s high-altitude basin location produces rapid diurnal temperature swings, while the current steering pattern favors southeasterly flow that keeps humidity elevated and caps surface warming below late-spring heatwave levels. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 25°C and 26°C contracts aligns with this narrow forecast range, with lower-probability tails for 23°C or 27°C+ hinging on whether model runs shift toward stronger moisture or clearer skies in the final 24-hour update window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$912Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Mexican meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Mexico City on June 15 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by typical early rainy-season conditions with moderate insolation, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and light convective showers that limit peak heating. Mexico City’s high-altitude basin location produces rapid diurnal temperature swings, while the current steering pattern favors southeasterly flow that keeps humidity elevated and caps surface warming below late-spring heatwave levels. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 25°C and 26°C contracts aligns with this narrow forecast range, with lower-probability tails for 23°C or 27°C+ hinging on whether model runs shift toward stronger moisture or clearer skies in the final 24-hour update window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$912Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Mexican meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Mexico City on June 15 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by typical early rainy-season conditions with moderate insolation, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and light convective showers that limit peak heating. Mexico City’s high-altitude basin location produces rapid diurnal temperature swings, while the current steering pattern favors southeasterly flow that keeps humidity elevated and caps surface warming below late-spring heatwave levels. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 25°C and 26°C contracts aligns with this narrow forecast range, with lower-probability tails for 23°C or 27°C+ hinging on whether model runs shift toward stronger moisture or clearer skies in the final 24-hour update window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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