Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the East Asian monsoon will cap Taipei's June 14 maximum near 27°C, well below the mid-month climatological average of 30–32°C. This setup, with limited solar heating and elevated humidity, underpins the 69% market-implied probability for 27°C and 23.5% for 28°C. Clearer breaks could allow brief warming to 29°C, though ensemble guidance shows low odds for such development by afternoon. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine whether the highest reading settles at the lower end of the seasonal range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Taipei le 14 juin ?
27°C 69%
28°C 24%
29°C 1.8%
30°C <1%
$33,839 Vol.
$33,839 Vol.
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
69%
28°C
24%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 69%
28°C 24%
29°C 1.8%
30°C <1%
$33,839 Vol.
$33,839 Vol.
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
69%
28°C
24%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the East Asian monsoon will cap Taipei's June 14 maximum near 27°C, well below the mid-month climatological average of 30–32°C. This setup, with limited solar heating and elevated humidity, underpins the 69% market-implied probability for 27°C and 23.5% for 28°C. Clearer breaks could allow brief warming to 29°C, though ensemble guidance shows low odds for such development by afternoon. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine whether the highest reading settles at the lower end of the seasonal range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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