Ensemble forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models currently favor a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Taipei on June 15, reflecting widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers that limit insolation and suppress surface heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer synoptic patterns featuring moist southwesterly flow and moderate instability, keeping temperatures below the June climatological average near 32 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because short-range ensembles show limited spread, though revisions from the next model cycle or shifts in precipitation timing could alter the exact peak by 1–2 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
28°C 27%
29°C 24.9%
27°C 18%
30°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
27%
29°C
25%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
7%
28°C 27%
29°C 24.9%
27°C 18%
30°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
27%
29°C
25%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models currently favor a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Taipei on June 15, reflecting widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers that limit insolation and suppress surface heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer synoptic patterns featuring moist southwesterly flow and moderate instability, keeping temperatures below the June climatological average near 32 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because short-range ensembles show limited spread, though revisions from the next model cycle or shifts in precipitation timing could alter the exact peak by 1–2 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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