Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on June 16 indicate a daytime range of 25–29°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms likely, driven by typical mei-yu season moisture and afternoon convection that often caps peak heating. Trader sentiment clusters around 29–31°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and steering flows, with any earlier or lighter precipitation allowing slightly higher readings near urban heat sources. Historical June averages hover near 31–32°C, yet persistent humidity and potential frontal boundaries this week introduce variability that keeps probabilities diffuse rather than concentrated on a single outcome. Updated CWA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
30°C 28%
29°C 22%
31°C 18%
28°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
22%
30°C
28%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 28%
29°C 22%
31°C 18%
28°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
22%
30°C
28%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on June 16 indicate a daytime range of 25–29°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms likely, driven by typical mei-yu season moisture and afternoon convection that often caps peak heating. Trader sentiment clusters around 29–31°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and steering flows, with any earlier or lighter precipitation allowing slightly higher readings near urban heat sources. Historical June averages hover near 31–32°C, yet persistent humidity and potential frontal boundaries this week introduce variability that keeps probabilities diffuse rather than concentrated on a single outcome. Updated CWA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes