Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and AccuWeather point to overcast skies and scattered thundery showers across Ankara on June 14, 2026, which suppress daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Morning observations near 18–19 °C align with this pattern, while ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential once convection develops. These conditions explain why traders have concentrated implied probability on a daily maximum of 19–20 °C, with warmer outcomes above 21 °C requiring earlier clearing than currently modeled. Typical June highs in Ankara average 25–28 °C, but the present synoptic setup of cloud cover and showers has shifted expectations downward. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine whether the high stays capped or edges higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
20°C 53%
19°C or below 51.3%
21°C 3.0%
22°C 1.1%
$42,992 Vol.
$42,992 Vol.
19°C or below
41%
20°C
53%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 53%
19°C or below 51.3%
21°C 3.0%
22°C 1.1%
$42,992 Vol.
$42,992 Vol.
19°C or below
41%
20°C
53%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and AccuWeather point to overcast skies and scattered thundery showers across Ankara on June 14, 2026, which suppress daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Morning observations near 18–19 °C align with this pattern, while ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential once convection develops. These conditions explain why traders have concentrated implied probability on a daily maximum of 19–20 °C, with warmer outcomes above 21 °C requiring earlier clearing than currently modeled. Typical June highs in Ankara average 25–28 °C, but the present synoptic setup of cloud cover and showers has shifted expectations downward. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine whether the high stays capped or edges higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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