Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 30°C peak in Guangzhou on June 16 because recent subtropical conditions align with the East Asian summer monsoon’s typical mid-June pattern of daytime heating to 31–33°C moderated by afternoon convection and high humidity near 80–85%. Variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, common during South China Sea monsoon surges, can suppress maxima by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 31°C, creating the tight clustering around 29–31°C. Official monitoring shows early June 2026 highs fluctuating between 28–32°C amid frequent downpours, with model consensus indicating similar steering patterns and limited intensification potential before the 16th. New forecast updates from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
30°C 30%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
28°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
26%
30°C
30%
31°C
18%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 30%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
28°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
23°C or below
$306 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$172 Vol.
2%
27°C
$96 Vol.
6%
28°C
$3 Vol.
10%
29°C
$18 Vol.
26%
30°C
$23 Vol.
30%
31°C
$71 Vol.
18%
32°C
$1 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$111 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 30°C peak in Guangzhou on June 16 because recent subtropical conditions align with the East Asian summer monsoon’s typical mid-June pattern of daytime heating to 31–33°C moderated by afternoon convection and high humidity near 80–85%. Variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, common during South China Sea monsoon surges, can suppress maxima by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 31°C, creating the tight clustering around 29–31°C. Official monitoring shows early June 2026 highs fluctuating between 28–32°C amid frequent downpours, with model consensus indicating similar steering patterns and limited intensification potential before the 16th. New forecast updates from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$868Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 30°C peak in Guangzhou on June 16 because recent subtropical conditions align with the East Asian summer monsoon’s typical mid-June pattern of daytime heating to 31–33°C moderated by afternoon convection and high humidity near 80–85%. Variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, common during South China Sea monsoon surges, can suppress maxima by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 31°C, creating the tight clustering around 29–31°C. Official monitoring shows early June 2026 highs fluctuating between 28–32°C amid frequent downpours, with model consensus indicating similar steering patterns and limited intensification potential before the 16th. New forecast updates from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$868Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 30°C peak in Guangzhou on June 16 because recent subtropical conditions align with the East Asian summer monsoon’s typical mid-June pattern of daytime heating to 31–33°C moderated by afternoon convection and high humidity near 80–85%. Variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, common during South China Sea monsoon surges, can suppress maxima by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 31°C, creating the tight clustering around 29–31°C. Official monitoring shows early June 2026 highs fluctuating between 28–32°C amid frequent downpours, with model consensus indicating similar steering patterns and limited intensification potential before the 16th. New forecast updates from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes