Recent forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Cape Town highs near 18°C on June 16, consistent with the market's near-even split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities. In Southern Hemisphere winter, the region experiences typical moderation from the cold Benguela Current and prevailing south-easterly winds, which limit daytime warming compared to interior areas. Recent early-June cold fronts have kept temperatures slightly below seasonal averages, with clearing conditions expected to allow modest recovery. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or any residual frontal timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C, explaining the tight clustering of trader sentiment between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
19°C 35%
18°C 34%
20°C 20%
17°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
34%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 34%
20°C 20%
17°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
14°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
15°C
$18 Vol.
1%
16°C
$341 Vol.
1%
17°C
$38 Vol.
6%
18°C
$174 Vol.
34%
19°C
$9 Vol.
35%
20°C
$35 Vol.
20%
21°C
$21 Vol.
2%
22°C
$30 Vol.
2%
23°C
$52 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Cape Town highs near 18°C on June 16, consistent with the market's near-even split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities. In Southern Hemisphere winter, the region experiences typical moderation from the cold Benguela Current and prevailing south-easterly winds, which limit daytime warming compared to interior areas. Recent early-June cold fronts have kept temperatures slightly below seasonal averages, with clearing conditions expected to allow modest recovery. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or any residual frontal timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C, explaining the tight clustering of trader sentiment between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Volume
$905Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Cape Town highs near 18°C on June 16, consistent with the market's near-even split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities. In Southern Hemisphere winter, the region experiences typical moderation from the cold Benguela Current and prevailing south-easterly winds, which limit daytime warming compared to interior areas. Recent early-June cold fronts have kept temperatures slightly below seasonal averages, with clearing conditions expected to allow modest recovery. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or any residual frontal timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C, explaining the tight clustering of trader sentiment between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$905Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Cape Town highs near 18°C on June 16, consistent with the market's near-even split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities. In Southern Hemisphere winter, the region experiences typical moderation from the cold Benguela Current and prevailing south-easterly winds, which limit daytime warming compared to interior areas. Recent early-June cold fronts have kept temperatures slightly below seasonal averages, with clearing conditions expected to allow modest recovery. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or any residual frontal timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C, explaining the tight clustering of trader sentiment between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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