Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a warmer-than-average airmass, mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce turbulent mixing. These conditions produce only modest nocturnal temperature drops compared with typical June climatology (12–16°C lows at Paris-Le Bourget), while the urban heat-island effect at the official station further supports the higher end of the range. Traders see the tight 27.5 % / 19.0 % split between the 19°C and 20°C contracts as reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the daily minimum, with model updates through the weekend likely to narrow the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 16 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 16 juin ?
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
18°C 5%
22°C 4.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
16°C ou moins
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
28%
20°C
24%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou plus
1%
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
18°C 5%
22°C 4.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
16°C ou moins
$76 Vol.
4%
17°C
$33 Vol.
8%
18°C
$18 Vol.
5%
19°C
$20 Vol.
28%
20°C
$25 Vol.
24%
21°C
$54 Vol.
4%
22°C
$21 Vol.
5%
23°C
$38 Vol.
1%
24°C
$127 Vol.
1%
25°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou plus
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a warmer-than-average airmass, mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce turbulent mixing. These conditions produce only modest nocturnal temperature drops compared with typical June climatology (12–16°C lows at Paris-Le Bourget), while the urban heat-island effect at the official station further supports the higher end of the range. Traders see the tight 27.5 % / 19.0 % split between the 19°C and 20°C contracts as reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the daily minimum, with model updates through the weekend likely to narrow the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$470Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a warmer-than-average airmass, mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce turbulent mixing. These conditions produce only modest nocturnal temperature drops compared with typical June climatology (12–16°C lows at Paris-Le Bourget), while the urban heat-island effect at the official station further supports the higher end of the range. Traders see the tight 27.5 % / 19.0 % split between the 19°C and 20°C contracts as reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the daily minimum, with model updates through the weekend likely to narrow the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$470Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a warmer-than-average airmass, mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce turbulent mixing. These conditions produce only modest nocturnal temperature drops compared with typical June climatology (12–16°C lows at Paris-Le Bourget), while the urban heat-island effect at the official station further supports the higher end of the range. Traders see the tight 27.5 % / 19.0 % split between the 19°C and 20°C contracts as reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the daily minimum, with model updates through the weekend likely to narrow the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes