Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Paris shows overnight radiative cooling under building high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting minimum temperatures clustering near 12–13°C on June 15. Model runs indicate a mild maritime air mass with dew points around 9–11°C that limits further nocturnal drops, while small differences in forecast timing of any thin high cloud or slight veering flow explain the tight spread between the two leading bins. Historical June climatology places typical overnight lows near 13°C, so current consensus aligns closely with baseline expectations yet retains modest uncertainty from mesoscale variations in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and Météo-France briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 15 juin ?
12°C 37%
13°C 33%
14°C 9%
11°C 7%
10°C ou moins
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
37%
13°C
33%
14°C
9%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 37%
13°C 33%
14°C 9%
11°C 7%
10°C ou moins
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
37%
13°C
33%
14°C
9%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Paris shows overnight radiative cooling under building high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover supporting minimum temperatures clustering near 12–13°C on June 15. Model runs indicate a mild maritime air mass with dew points around 9–11°C that limits further nocturnal drops, while small differences in forecast timing of any thin high cloud or slight veering flow explain the tight spread between the two leading bins. Historical June climatology places typical overnight lows near 13°C, so current consensus aligns closely with baseline expectations yet retains modest uncertainty from mesoscale variations in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and Météo-France briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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