Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–30 °C under building high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light westerly flow favoring modest daytime warming. This positions the market’s near-even split between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes as a reflection of genuine short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective development, and exact timing of any residual moisture. Historical June maxima at Paris-Le Bourget average 22–24 °C, so current guidance reflects a clear warm anomaly; traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs against ensemble spread while awaiting the next high-resolution updates from Météo-France and ECMWF that will refine land-sea breeze and insolation effects ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
30°C 34%
29°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
15%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
25°C or below
$142 Vol.
1%
26°C
$47 Vol.
2%
27°C
$271 Vol.
7%
28°C
$111 Vol.
15%
29°C
$327 Vol.
34%
30°C
$178 Vol.
34%
31°C
$447 Vol.
11%
32°C
$161 Vol.
4%
33°C
$283 Vol.
1%
34°C
$80 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–30 °C under building high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light westerly flow favoring modest daytime warming. This positions the market’s near-even split between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes as a reflection of genuine short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective development, and exact timing of any residual moisture. Historical June maxima at Paris-Le Bourget average 22–24 °C, so current guidance reflects a clear warm anomaly; traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs against ensemble spread while awaiting the next high-resolution updates from Météo-France and ECMWF that will refine land-sea breeze and insolation effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$2,060Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–30 °C under building high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light westerly flow favoring modest daytime warming. This positions the market’s near-even split between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes as a reflection of genuine short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective development, and exact timing of any residual moisture. Historical June maxima at Paris-Le Bourget average 22–24 °C, so current guidance reflects a clear warm anomaly; traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs against ensemble spread while awaiting the next high-resolution updates from Météo-France and ECMWF that will refine land-sea breeze and insolation effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,060Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–30 °C under building high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light westerly flow favoring modest daytime warming. This positions the market’s near-even split between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes as a reflection of genuine short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective development, and exact timing of any residual moisture. Historical June maxima at Paris-Le Bourget average 22–24 °C, so current guidance reflects a clear warm anomaly; traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs against ensemble spread while awaiting the next high-resolution updates from Météo-France and ECMWF that will refine land-sea breeze and insolation effects ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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