Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 34°C (34%) and 35°C (29%) for Karachi’s June 16 maximum because these align with the city’s pre-monsoon climatology, where average highs hover near 34°C amid strong Arabian Sea breezes that frequently suppress peaks. Recent model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest variability from humidity, urban heat-island effects, and potential weakening of onshore flow, which can add or subtract 1–2°C on any given day. Historical June records indicate 33–36°C outcomes dominate, while extremes above 37°C require sustained dry northwesterly flow rarely seen this early. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these close brackets before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Karachi on June 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 16?
34°C 37%
35°C 32%
36°C 13%
33°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
37%
35°C
32%
36°C
13%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C ou plus
1%
34°C 37%
35°C 32%
36°C 13%
33°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
29°C ou moins
$115 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$24 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$40 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
37%
35°C
$0 Vol.
32%
36°C
$0 Vol.
13%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C
$0 Vol.
3%
39°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 34°C (34%) and 35°C (29%) for Karachi’s June 16 maximum because these align with the city’s pre-monsoon climatology, where average highs hover near 34°C amid strong Arabian Sea breezes that frequently suppress peaks. Recent model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest variability from humidity, urban heat-island effects, and potential weakening of onshore flow, which can add or subtract 1–2°C on any given day. Historical June records indicate 33–36°C outcomes dominate, while extremes above 37°C require sustained dry northwesterly flow rarely seen this early. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these close brackets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$194Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 1:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 34°C (34%) and 35°C (29%) for Karachi’s June 16 maximum because these align with the city’s pre-monsoon climatology, where average highs hover near 34°C amid strong Arabian Sea breezes that frequently suppress peaks. Recent model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest variability from humidity, urban heat-island effects, and potential weakening of onshore flow, which can add or subtract 1–2°C on any given day. Historical June records indicate 33–36°C outcomes dominate, while extremes above 37°C require sustained dry northwesterly flow rarely seen this early. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these close brackets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$194Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 1:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 34°C (34%) and 35°C (29%) for Karachi’s June 16 maximum because these align with the city’s pre-monsoon climatology, where average highs hover near 34°C amid strong Arabian Sea breezes that frequently suppress peaks. Recent model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest variability from humidity, urban heat-island effects, and potential weakening of onshore flow, which can add or subtract 1–2°C on any given day. Historical June records indicate 33–36°C outcomes dominate, while extremes above 37°C require sustained dry northwesterly flow rarely seen this early. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these close brackets before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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