Official PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila project a June 16 maximum of 34°C with a 30% rain chance, driven by the southwest monsoon that typically moderates daytime peaks while sustaining high humidity. Recent model runs and agency briefings cluster expected highs between 33–34°C, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C and limited intensification potential from scattered showers. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 34°C because it aligns directly with the latest official guidance; 33°C and 35°C each sit at 24% amid minor forecast spreads from differing model solutions. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations, with cloud cover and timing of any convection posing the main variables that could shift the outcome by one degree.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 38%
33°C 24%
35°C 22%
36°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
24%
34°C
38%
35°C
22%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C ou plus
1%
34°C 38%
33°C 24%
35°C 22%
36°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
28°C ou moins
$17 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9 Vol.
1%
31°C
$124 Vol.
1%
32°C
$346 Vol.
4%
33°C
$31 Vol.
24%
34°C
$32 Vol.
38%
35°C
$18 Vol.
22%
36°C
$23 Vol.
9%
37°C
$12 Vol.
1%
38°C ou plus
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila project a June 16 maximum of 34°C with a 30% rain chance, driven by the southwest monsoon that typically moderates daytime peaks while sustaining high humidity. Recent model runs and agency briefings cluster expected highs between 33–34°C, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C and limited intensification potential from scattered showers. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 34°C because it aligns directly with the latest official guidance; 33°C and 35°C each sit at 24% amid minor forecast spreads from differing model solutions. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations, with cloud cover and timing of any convection posing the main variables that could shift the outcome by one degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$655Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila project a June 16 maximum of 34°C with a 30% rain chance, driven by the southwest monsoon that typically moderates daytime peaks while sustaining high humidity. Recent model runs and agency briefings cluster expected highs between 33–34°C, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C and limited intensification potential from scattered showers. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 34°C because it aligns directly with the latest official guidance; 33°C and 35°C each sit at 24% amid minor forecast spreads from differing model solutions. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations, with cloud cover and timing of any convection posing the main variables that could shift the outcome by one degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$655Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila project a June 16 maximum of 34°C with a 30% rain chance, driven by the southwest monsoon that typically moderates daytime peaks while sustaining high humidity. Recent model runs and agency briefings cluster expected highs between 33–34°C, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C and limited intensification potential from scattered showers. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 34°C because it aligns directly with the latest official guidance; 33°C and 35°C each sit at 24% amid minor forecast spreads from differing model solutions. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations, with cloud cover and timing of any convection posing the main variables that could shift the outcome by one degree.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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