**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine atmospheric, geophysical and astronomical services administration, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Manila on June 14, 2026, consistent with typical early southwest monsoon conditions that bring cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating.** Historical June averages hover near 32°C, and current model runs show no significant deviation toward extremes. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this consensus from government monitoring data and climatological baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or measurement at a warmer micro-site could theoretically push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain unlikely given the entrenched monsoon pattern and ongoing rain chances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 14?
32°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
33°C <1%
$22,709 Vol.
$22,709 Vol.
14 juin 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
33°C <1%
$22,709 Vol.
$22,709 Vol.
14 juin 2026
27°C or below
$301 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$981 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,224 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,337 Vol.
100%
33°C
$3,863 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,345 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,700 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,267 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,377 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine atmospheric, geophysical and astronomical services administration, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Manila on June 14, 2026, consistent with typical early southwest monsoon conditions that bring cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating.** Historical June averages hover near 32°C, and current model runs show no significant deviation toward extremes. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this consensus from government monitoring data and climatological baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or measurement at a warmer micro-site could theoretically push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain unlikely given the entrenched monsoon pattern and ongoing rain chances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$22,709Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine atmospheric, geophysical and astronomical services administration, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Manila on June 14, 2026, consistent with typical early southwest monsoon conditions that bring cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating.** Historical June averages hover near 32°C, and current model runs show no significant deviation toward extremes. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this consensus from government monitoring data and climatological baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or measurement at a warmer micro-site could theoretically push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain unlikely given the entrenched monsoon pattern and ongoing rain chances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,709Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine atmospheric, geophysical and astronomical services administration, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Manila on June 14, 2026, consistent with typical early southwest monsoon conditions that bring cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating.** Historical June averages hover near 32°C, and current model runs show no significant deviation toward extremes. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this consensus from government monitoring data and climatological baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or measurement at a warmer micro-site could theoretically push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain unlikely given the entrenched monsoon pattern and ongoing rain chances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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