Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC forecast a daytime high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16, 2026, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest warming under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 28–30°C, but recent model runs reflect a slight positive anomaly consistent with observed temperatures through mid-month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44% implied probability for a 33°C peak (versus 26.5% each for 32°C and 34°C), aligns with this narrow forecast range while incorporating typical model spread and potential for small revisions in the final 48-hour updates. Resolution depends on official observations at Madrid’s primary reporting station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 45%
32°C 27%
34°C 27%
35°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
45%
34°C
27%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 27%
34°C 27%
35°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
30°C or below
$178 Vol.
2%
31°C
$244 Vol.
4%
32°C
$310 Vol.
27%
33°C
$379 Vol.
45%
34°C
$218 Vol.
27%
35°C
$95 Vol.
5%
36°C
$89 Vol.
1%
37°C
$634 Vol.
1%
38°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC forecast a daytime high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16, 2026, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest warming under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 28–30°C, but recent model runs reflect a slight positive anomaly consistent with observed temperatures through mid-month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44% implied probability for a 33°C peak (versus 26.5% each for 32°C and 34°C), aligns with this narrow forecast range while incorporating typical model spread and potential for small revisions in the final 48-hour updates. Resolution depends on official observations at Madrid’s primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,209Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC forecast a daytime high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16, 2026, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest warming under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 28–30°C, but recent model runs reflect a slight positive anomaly consistent with observed temperatures through mid-month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44% implied probability for a 33°C peak (versus 26.5% each for 32°C and 34°C), aligns with this narrow forecast range while incorporating typical model spread and potential for small revisions in the final 48-hour updates. Resolution depends on official observations at Madrid’s primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,209Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC forecast a daytime high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16, 2026, with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest warming under stable high-pressure conditions. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 28–30°C, but recent model runs reflect a slight positive anomaly consistent with observed temperatures through mid-month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44% implied probability for a 33°C peak (versus 26.5% each for 32°C and 34°C), aligns with this narrow forecast range while incorporating typical model spread and potential for small revisions in the final 48-hour updates. Resolution depends on official observations at Madrid’s primary reporting station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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