Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid of 31–32 °C on June 15, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong June solar insolation over the Iberian Plateau. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and the chance of isolated convective clouds that could limit peak heating by 1 °C. The market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the influence of urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance tonight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 38%
31°C 34%
33°C 11.3%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$16,211 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,211 Vol.
15 juin 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 34%
33°C 11.3%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$16,211 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,211 Vol.
15 juin 2026
27°C or below
$404 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,877 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,975 Vol.
9%
31°C
$1,441 Vol.
34%
32°C
$1,793 Vol.
38%
33°C
$2,197 Vol.
11%
34°C
$2,914 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid of 31–32 °C on June 15, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong June solar insolation over the Iberian Plateau. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and the chance of isolated convective clouds that could limit peak heating by 1 °C. The market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the influence of urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance tonight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$16,211Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid of 31–32 °C on June 15, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong June solar insolation over the Iberian Plateau. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and the chance of isolated convective clouds that could limit peak heating by 1 °C. The market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the influence of urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance tonight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,211Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid of 31–32 °C on June 15, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong June solar insolation over the Iberian Plateau. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and the chance of isolated convective clouds that could limit peak heating by 1 °C. The market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the influence of urban heat-island effects at official observing sites. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance tonight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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