Recent forecast model consensus from major global and regional ensembles points to a Beijing maximum near 28°C on June 14 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and modest boundary-layer moisture. This aligns with mid-June climatological baselines around 29–31°C while recent overnight showers and limited insolation have tempered daytime heating, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied probability at 28°C. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market, yet ensemble spread remains narrow. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating toward 30°C or stronger onshore flow keeping readings at or below 27°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 14 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 14 juin ?
28°C 99.8%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,898 Vol.
$119,898 Vol.
14 juin 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 99.8%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,898 Vol.
$119,898 Vol.
14 juin 2026
24°C ou moins
$3,164 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,175 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$20,018 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$23,451 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$17,169 Vol.
100%
29°C
$13,970 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,996 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10,394 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,443 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,371 Vol.
<1%
34°C ou plus
$2,842 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from major global and regional ensembles points to a Beijing maximum near 28°C on June 14 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and modest boundary-layer moisture. This aligns with mid-June climatological baselines around 29–31°C while recent overnight showers and limited insolation have tempered daytime heating, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied probability at 28°C. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market, yet ensemble spread remains narrow. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating toward 30°C or stronger onshore flow keeping readings at or below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$119,898Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from major global and regional ensembles points to a Beijing maximum near 28°C on June 14 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and modest boundary-layer moisture. This aligns with mid-June climatological baselines around 29–31°C while recent overnight showers and limited insolation have tempered daytime heating, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied probability at 28°C. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market, yet ensemble spread remains narrow. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating toward 30°C or stronger onshore flow keeping readings at or below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$119,898Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from major global and regional ensembles points to a Beijing maximum near 28°C on June 14 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and modest boundary-layer moisture. This aligns with mid-June climatological baselines around 29–31°C while recent overnight showers and limited insolation have tempered daytime heating, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied probability at 28°C. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market, yet ensemble spread remains narrow. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating toward 30°C or stronger onshore flow keeping readings at or below 27°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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