Forecast models for Beijing on June 15 show modest highs near 30–33°C amid variable cloud cover and a chance of scattered thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings through reduced solar heating. Recent runs indicate a steering pattern favoring onshore flow or frontal influences that may limit afternoon warming, creating the spread reflected in trader positions favoring 28–30°C outcomes. Key variables include precise timing and intensity of any precipitation, boundary-layer moisture affecting the diurnal temperature range, and model differences in simulating convective inhibition. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term uncertainty from evolving synoptic features keeps probabilities dispersed rather than concentrated on a single threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$27,724 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$27,724 Vol.
15 juin 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
24%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$27,724 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$27,724 Vol.
15 juin 2026
25°C or below
$2,413 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,096 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,213 Vol.
6%
28°C
$831 Vol.
20%
29°C
$897 Vol.
35%
30°C
$885 Vol.
24%
31°C
$3,833 Vol.
11%
32°C
$4,473 Vol.
1%
33°C
$4,347 Vol.
1%
34°C
$3,525 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$4,227 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Beijing on June 15 show modest highs near 30–33°C amid variable cloud cover and a chance of scattered thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings through reduced solar heating. Recent runs indicate a steering pattern favoring onshore flow or frontal influences that may limit afternoon warming, creating the spread reflected in trader positions favoring 28–30°C outcomes. Key variables include precise timing and intensity of any precipitation, boundary-layer moisture affecting the diurnal temperature range, and model differences in simulating convective inhibition. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term uncertainty from evolving synoptic features keeps probabilities dispersed rather than concentrated on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$27,724Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Beijing on June 15 show modest highs near 30–33°C amid variable cloud cover and a chance of scattered thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings through reduced solar heating. Recent runs indicate a steering pattern favoring onshore flow or frontal influences that may limit afternoon warming, creating the spread reflected in trader positions favoring 28–30°C outcomes. Key variables include precise timing and intensity of any precipitation, boundary-layer moisture affecting the diurnal temperature range, and model differences in simulating convective inhibition. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term uncertainty from evolving synoptic features keeps probabilities dispersed rather than concentrated on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,724Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Beijing on June 15 show modest highs near 30–33°C amid variable cloud cover and a chance of scattered thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings through reduced solar heating. Recent runs indicate a steering pattern favoring onshore flow or frontal influences that may limit afternoon warming, creating the spread reflected in trader positions favoring 28–30°C outcomes. Key variables include precise timing and intensity of any precipitation, boundary-layer moisture affecting the diurnal temperature range, and model differences in simulating convective inhibition. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term uncertainty from evolving synoptic features keeps probabilities dispersed rather than concentrated on a single threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes