**Trader sentiment for London's June 16 maximum temperature centers on 25°C (32.5%) and 26°C (29.0%), reflecting tight clustering around official guidance of a 25°C peak under settled high-pressure conditions.** Recent Met Office forecasts highlight sunny intervals, light to moderate breezes, and above-average warmth for the day, following a cooler early-June pattern after May's exceptional heatwave. These conditions favor modest daytime heating without strong advection or intense insolation that could push values higher. Ensemble model spreads and subtle uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any thin high cloud explain the near-even split between the two leading bins, as even 1°C differences often hinge on these micro-scale factors. Historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, while the low probabilities on 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes underscore limited upside potential from current steering patterns and minimal precipitation risk. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and London observations ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on June 16?
Highest temperature in London on June 16?
25°C 33%
26°C 30%
24°C 19%
27°C 6.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
19%
25°C
33%
26°C
30%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
26°C 30%
24°C 19%
27°C 6.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
22°C or below
$9 Vol.
2%
23°C
$46 Vol.
6%
24°C
$951 Vol.
19%
25°C
$316 Vol.
33%
26°C
$143 Vol.
30%
27°C
$1,004 Vol.
6%
28°C
$989 Vol.
2%
29°C
$248 Vol.
1%
30°C
$170 Vol.
1%
31°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$434 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's June 16 maximum temperature centers on 25°C (32.5%) and 26°C (29.0%), reflecting tight clustering around official guidance of a 25°C peak under settled high-pressure conditions.**
Recent Met Office forecasts highlight sunny intervals, light to moderate breezes, and above-average warmth for the day, following a cooler early-June pattern after May's exceptional heatwave. These conditions favor modest daytime heating without strong advection or intense insolation that could push values higher. Ensemble model spreads and subtle uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any thin high cloud explain the near-even split between the two leading bins, as even 1°C differences often hinge on these micro-scale factors.
Historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, while the low probabilities on 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes underscore limited upside potential from current steering patterns and minimal precipitation risk. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and London observations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$4,395Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's June 16 maximum temperature centers on 25°C (32.5%) and 26°C (29.0%), reflecting tight clustering around official guidance of a 25°C peak under settled high-pressure conditions.**
Recent Met Office forecasts highlight sunny intervals, light to moderate breezes, and above-average warmth for the day, following a cooler early-June pattern after May's exceptional heatwave. These conditions favor modest daytime heating without strong advection or intense insolation that could push values higher. Ensemble model spreads and subtle uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any thin high cloud explain the near-even split between the two leading bins, as even 1°C differences often hinge on these micro-scale factors.
Historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, while the low probabilities on 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes underscore limited upside potential from current steering patterns and minimal precipitation risk. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and London observations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,395Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for London's June 16 maximum temperature centers on 25°C (32.5%) and 26°C (29.0%), reflecting tight clustering around official guidance of a 25°C peak under settled high-pressure conditions.** Recent Met Office forecasts highlight sunny intervals, light to moderate breezes, and above-average warmth for the day, following a cooler early-June pattern after May's exceptional heatwave. These conditions favor modest daytime heating without strong advection or intense insolation that could push values higher. Ensemble model spreads and subtle uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any thin high cloud explain the near-even split between the two leading bins, as even 1°C differences often hinge on these micro-scale factors. Historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, while the low probabilities on 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes underscore limited upside potential from current steering patterns and minimal precipitation risk. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and London observations ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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