Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for London on June 15 point to a daytime maximum near 22–23°C under a transitional post-heatwave pattern, with light southerly winds, variable cloud, and limited insolation preventing further warming. This follows an exceptionally warm May that shifted the jet stream and allowed cooler Atlantic air to influence southern England, keeping values close to the long-term June average of about 20–21°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31.5% and 29% probabilities for 23°C and 22°C respectively, incorporates model spread on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects, while the modest 18.4% share for 24°C or higher acknowledges residual uncertainty in any late-day clearing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on June 15?
Highest temperature in London on June 15?
23°C 32%
22°C 29%
21°C 21%
24°C or higher 18.4%
NOUVEAU
$29,724 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$29,724 Vol.
15 juin 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
21%
22°C
29%
23°C
32%
24°C or higher
18%
23°C 32%
22°C 29%
21°C 21%
24°C or higher 18.4%
NOUVEAU
$29,724 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$29,724 Vol.
15 juin 2026
14°C or below
$473 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$499 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,663 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,837 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,078 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5,548 Vol.
21%
22°C
$3,724 Vol.
29%
23°C
$3,654 Vol.
32%
24°C or higher
$6,311 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for London on June 15 point to a daytime maximum near 22–23°C under a transitional post-heatwave pattern, with light southerly winds, variable cloud, and limited insolation preventing further warming. This follows an exceptionally warm May that shifted the jet stream and allowed cooler Atlantic air to influence southern England, keeping values close to the long-term June average of about 20–21°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31.5% and 29% probabilities for 23°C and 22°C respectively, incorporates model spread on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects, while the modest 18.4% share for 24°C or higher acknowledges residual uncertainty in any late-day clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$29,724Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for London on June 15 point to a daytime maximum near 22–23°C under a transitional post-heatwave pattern, with light southerly winds, variable cloud, and limited insolation preventing further warming. This follows an exceptionally warm May that shifted the jet stream and allowed cooler Atlantic air to influence southern England, keeping values close to the long-term June average of about 20–21°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31.5% and 29% probabilities for 23°C and 22°C respectively, incorporates model spread on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects, while the modest 18.4% share for 24°C or higher acknowledges residual uncertainty in any late-day clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,724Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for London on June 15 point to a daytime maximum near 22–23°C under a transitional post-heatwave pattern, with light southerly winds, variable cloud, and limited insolation preventing further warming. This follows an exceptionally warm May that shifted the jet stream and allowed cooler Atlantic air to influence southern England, keeping values close to the long-term June average of about 20–21°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31.5% and 29% probabilities for 23°C and 22°C respectively, incorporates model spread on exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects, while the modest 18.4% share for 24°C or higher acknowledges residual uncertainty in any late-day clearing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes