Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 indicate a rainy, cloudy Monday with a maximum of 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation during Tokyo’s early tsuyu rainy season limit solar heating and surface warming, keeping daytime highs below the monthly average of 26°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels supports this cooler outcome, though minor shifts in timing or intensity could allow a brief spike toward 23°C or hold the peak at 21°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for mid-June frontal systems, with the near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 15 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 15 juin ?
22°C 34%
21°C 32%
23°C 17%
20°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$19,630 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,630 Vol.
15 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
32%
22°C
34%
23°C
17%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 34%
21°C 32%
23°C 17%
20°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$19,630 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,630 Vol.
15 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
$2,842 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,272 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,278 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,276 Vol.
10%
21°C
$1,111 Vol.
32%
22°C
$1,116 Vol.
34%
23°C
$814 Vol.
17%
24°C
$2,349 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,160 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,017 Vol.
1%
27°C ou plus
$2,943 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 indicate a rainy, cloudy Monday with a maximum of 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation during Tokyo’s early tsuyu rainy season limit solar heating and surface warming, keeping daytime highs below the monthly average of 26°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels supports this cooler outcome, though minor shifts in timing or intensity could allow a brief spike toward 23°C or hold the peak at 21°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for mid-June frontal systems, with the near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$19,630Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 indicate a rainy, cloudy Monday with a maximum of 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation during Tokyo’s early tsuyu rainy season limit solar heating and surface warming, keeping daytime highs below the monthly average of 26°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels supports this cooler outcome, though minor shifts in timing or intensity could allow a brief spike toward 23°C or hold the peak at 21°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for mid-June frontal systems, with the near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,630Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 indicate a rainy, cloudy Monday with a maximum of 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation during Tokyo’s early tsuyu rainy season limit solar heating and surface warming, keeping daytime highs below the monthly average of 26°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels supports this cooler outcome, though minor shifts in timing or intensity could allow a brief spike toward 23°C or hold the peak at 21°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for mid-June frontal systems, with the near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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