Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs position Seoul’s June 16 maximum near 28–29°C, explaining the near-even 30% and 29.5% market shares for those bins. Mid-June subsidence beneath the strengthening North Pacific high typically supports daytime highs in this range, with modest day-to-day variability driven by cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passages that can suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C. Current short-range forecasts show light winds and limited precipitation, keeping the distribution tightly centered; any shift in model consensus on insolation or advection before resolution could tilt probability between the two leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 22%
27°C 17%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 22%
27°C 17%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs position Seoul’s June 16 maximum near 28–29°C, explaining the near-even 30% and 29.5% market shares for those bins. Mid-June subsidence beneath the strengthening North Pacific high typically supports daytime highs in this range, with modest day-to-day variability driven by cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passages that can suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C. Current short-range forecasts show light winds and limited precipitation, keeping the distribution tightly centered; any shift in model consensus on insolation or advection before resolution could tilt probability between the two leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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