**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature range of 26–30°C for June 14, 2026, under mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms.** High humidity (80–95%) and moderate southwesterly winds limit overnight radiative cooling in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate, keeping the daily minimum from dropping sharply. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures for June–August amid long-term warming trends, consistent with observed June mean minima near 26.5–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 69% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 27°C, aligns with these model runs and historical analogs where cloud cover and moisture typically anchor overnight lows in the upper 20s°C. Key upcoming data include updated HKO hourly observations and any revisions to the 9-day forecast, which could shift probabilities if showers intensify or clear skies allow greater cooling. Resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 14 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 14 juin ?
28°C 65.1%
27°C 18%
26°C 3.9%
25°C <1%
$30,859 Vol.
$30,859 Vol.
14 juin 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
27%
28°C
69%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 65.1%
27°C 18%
26°C 3.9%
25°C <1%
$30,859 Vol.
$30,859 Vol.
14 juin 2026
22°C ou moins
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,905 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,950 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,866 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3,675 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,884 Vol.
27%
28°C
$6,869 Vol.
69%
29°C
$6,708 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature range of 26–30°C for June 14, 2026, under mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms.** High humidity (80–95%) and moderate southwesterly winds limit overnight radiative cooling in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate, keeping the daily minimum from dropping sharply. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures for June–August amid long-term warming trends, consistent with observed June mean minima near 26.5–27°C.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 69% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 27°C, aligns with these model runs and historical analogs where cloud cover and moisture typically anchor overnight lows in the upper 20s°C. Key upcoming data include updated HKO hourly observations and any revisions to the 9-day forecast, which could shift probabilities if showers intensify or clear skies allow greater cooling. Resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$30,859Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature range of 26–30°C for June 14, 2026, under mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms.** High humidity (80–95%) and moderate southwesterly winds limit overnight radiative cooling in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate, keeping the daily minimum from dropping sharply. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures for June–August amid long-term warming trends, consistent with observed June mean minima near 26.5–27°C.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 69% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 27°C, aligns with these model runs and historical analogs where cloud cover and moisture typically anchor overnight lows in the upper 20s°C. Key upcoming data include updated HKO hourly observations and any revisions to the 9-day forecast, which could shift probabilities if showers intensify or clear skies allow greater cooling. Resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,859Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature range of 26–30°C for June 14, 2026, under mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms.** High humidity (80–95%) and moderate southwesterly winds limit overnight radiative cooling in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate, keeping the daily minimum from dropping sharply. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures for June–August amid long-term warming trends, consistent with observed June mean minima near 26.5–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 69% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 27°C, aligns with these model runs and historical analogs where cloud cover and moisture typically anchor overnight lows in the upper 20s°C. Key upcoming data include updated HKO hourly observations and any revisions to the 9-day forecast, which could shift probabilities if showers intensify or clear skies allow greater cooling. Resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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