Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather for Wellington on June 16 project a daily maximum near 11–13°C, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes at those levels. Wellington's coastal setting and prevailing southerly winds provide strong marine moderation that typically caps winter highs around the long-term June average of 12–13°C, with limited diurnal range. NIWA's April–June 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the region, consistent with current model runs showing no strong warm or cold anomalies. Cloud cover, frontal passages, and wind shifts remain key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C either side of the consensus, supporting the concentrated trader probabilities around 11–13°C while keeping higher or lower extremes at low implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 45%
13°C 28%
11°C 25%
14°C 3.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
25%
12°C
45%
13°C
28%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 45%
13°C 28%
11°C 25%
14°C 3.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
7°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$118 Vol.
1%
10°C
$187 Vol.
1%
11°C
$660 Vol.
25%
12°C
$541 Vol.
45%
13°C
$1,145 Vol.
28%
14°C
$2,329 Vol.
3%
15°C
$1,988 Vol.
1%
16°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather for Wellington on June 16 project a daily maximum near 11–13°C, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes at those levels. Wellington's coastal setting and prevailing southerly winds provide strong marine moderation that typically caps winter highs around the long-term June average of 12–13°C, with limited diurnal range. NIWA's April–June 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the region, consistent with current model runs showing no strong warm or cold anomalies. Cloud cover, frontal passages, and wind shifts remain key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C either side of the consensus, supporting the concentrated trader probabilities around 11–13°C while keeping higher or lower extremes at low implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,282Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather for Wellington on June 16 project a daily maximum near 11–13°C, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes at those levels. Wellington's coastal setting and prevailing southerly winds provide strong marine moderation that typically caps winter highs around the long-term June average of 12–13°C, with limited diurnal range. NIWA's April–June 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the region, consistent with current model runs showing no strong warm or cold anomalies. Cloud cover, frontal passages, and wind shifts remain key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C either side of the consensus, supporting the concentrated trader probabilities around 11–13°C while keeping higher or lower extremes at low implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,282Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather for Wellington on June 16 project a daily maximum near 11–13°C, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes at those levels. Wellington's coastal setting and prevailing southerly winds provide strong marine moderation that typically caps winter highs around the long-term June average of 12–13°C, with limited diurnal range. NIWA's April–June 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the region, consistent with current model runs showing no strong warm or cold anomalies. Cloud cover, frontal passages, and wind shifts remain key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C either side of the consensus, supporting the concentrated trader probabilities around 11–13°C while keeping higher or lower extremes at low implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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