Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Istanbul's maximum temperature on June 14 near 26°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly flow. Ensemble model runs show minimal diurnal warming potential, with afternoon readings constrained by partial cloud cover and a marine influence from the Bosphorus. This aligns with climatological June averages of 25–27°C while ruling out spikes above 27°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification. The near-certain market pricing at 26°C reflects the tight clustering of official guidance, though a late-day model shift or measurement revision at primary stations could still alter the recorded high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$56,852 Vol.
$56,852 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$56,852 Vol.
$56,852 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Istanbul's maximum temperature on June 14 near 26°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly flow. Ensemble model runs show minimal diurnal warming potential, with afternoon readings constrained by partial cloud cover and a marine influence from the Bosphorus. This aligns with climatological June averages of 25–27°C while ruling out spikes above 27°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification. The near-certain market pricing at 26°C reflects the tight clustering of official guidance, though a late-day model shift or measurement revision at primary stations could still alter the recorded high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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