Traders are heavily favoring an 88-89°F high in New York City today, with 54% implied probability, as latest model guidance and observational trends point to peak afternoon readings in the upper 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, including an 91°F reading on June 11, driven by a persistent ridge and above-average sea surface temperatures enhancing regional heat. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan amplify daytime maxima by 2-4°F compared to surrounding areas. Ensemble forecasts show limited disagreement, though any increase in cloud cover or sea breeze could cap the high nearer 86-87°F, which holds 24.5% odds. Resolution hinges on official LaGuardia Airport observations, with the market reflecting real-time adjustments to evolving National Weather Service guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 14 juin ?
88-89°F 54%
30-30,5°C 25%
90-91°F 15%
84-85°F 3.3%
$26,337 Vol.
$26,337 Vol.
83°F ou moins
1%
84-85°F
3%
30-30,5°C
25%
88-89°F
54%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99 °F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F ou plus
<1%
88-89°F 54%
30-30,5°C 25%
90-91°F 15%
84-85°F 3.3%
$26,337 Vol.
$26,337 Vol.
83°F ou moins
1%
84-85°F
3%
30-30,5°C
25%
88-89°F
54%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99 °F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are heavily favoring an 88-89°F high in New York City today, with 54% implied probability, as latest model guidance and observational trends point to peak afternoon readings in the upper 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, including an 91°F reading on June 11, driven by a persistent ridge and above-average sea surface temperatures enhancing regional heat. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan amplify daytime maxima by 2-4°F compared to surrounding areas. Ensemble forecasts show limited disagreement, though any increase in cloud cover or sea breeze could cap the high nearer 86-87°F, which holds 24.5% odds. Resolution hinges on official LaGuardia Airport observations, with the market reflecting real-time adjustments to evolving National Weather Service guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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