Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern India, driven by persistent dry northwesterly winds and delayed monsoon progress, represent the main factor supporting trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for Lucknow’s June 16 maximum. Official IMD monitoring and short-range model runs indicate above-normal daytime temperatures persisting through mid-June, with recent observations near 42–44°C and ensemble guidance showing limited cooling before potential isolated thundershowers later in the period. Historical June climatology places average highs around 39°C, yet current anomalies and steering patterns elevate the probability of 38–40°C peaks while capping extremes above 42°C at low odds. Updated IMD bulletins and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 36%
39°C 23%
37°C 15%
36°C 7.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
35°C or below
2%
36°C
8%
37°C
15%
38°C
36%
39°C
23%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 36%
39°C 23%
37°C 15%
36°C 7.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
35°C or below
$124 Vol.
2%
36°C
$49 Vol.
8%
37°C
$337 Vol.
15%
38°C
$70 Vol.
36%
39°C
$57 Vol.
23%
40°C
$32 Vol.
7%
41°C
$26 Vol.
3%
42°C
$103 Vol.
1%
43°C
$126 Vol.
1%
44°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$403 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern India, driven by persistent dry northwesterly winds and delayed monsoon progress, represent the main factor supporting trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for Lucknow’s June 16 maximum. Official IMD monitoring and short-range model runs indicate above-normal daytime temperatures persisting through mid-June, with recent observations near 42–44°C and ensemble guidance showing limited cooling before potential isolated thundershowers later in the period. Historical June climatology places average highs around 39°C, yet current anomalies and steering patterns elevate the probability of 38–40°C peaks while capping extremes above 42°C at low odds. Updated IMD bulletins and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,417Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern India, driven by persistent dry northwesterly winds and delayed monsoon progress, represent the main factor supporting trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for Lucknow’s June 16 maximum. Official IMD monitoring and short-range model runs indicate above-normal daytime temperatures persisting through mid-June, with recent observations near 42–44°C and ensemble guidance showing limited cooling before potential isolated thundershowers later in the period. Historical June climatology places average highs around 39°C, yet current anomalies and steering patterns elevate the probability of 38–40°C peaks while capping extremes above 42°C at low odds. Updated IMD bulletins and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,417Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern India, driven by persistent dry northwesterly winds and delayed monsoon progress, represent the main factor supporting trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for Lucknow’s June 16 maximum. Official IMD monitoring and short-range model runs indicate above-normal daytime temperatures persisting through mid-June, with recent observations near 42–44°C and ensemble guidance showing limited cooling before potential isolated thundershowers later in the period. Historical June climatology places average highs around 39°C, yet current anomalies and steering patterns elevate the probability of 38–40°C peaks while capping extremes above 42°C at low odds. Updated IMD bulletins and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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