Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high in Wuhan on June 16 clustered near 32–33 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty between these thresholds. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover from approaching frontal systems, will govern peak heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June baselines average near 30 °C, but recent model runs show slight upward adjustments from clearer skies and stronger insolation. Traders weigh the narrow spread against potential revisions in afternoon convective development or observational data from local stations, which resolve the market using official maximum readings. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities as the event nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
33°C 30%
32°C 26%
31°C 13%
34°C 7.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
26%
33°C
30%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
32°C 26%
31°C 13%
34°C 7.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
27°C or below
$116 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21 Vol.
3%
30°C
$3 Vol.
6%
31°C
$52 Vol.
13%
32°C
$35 Vol.
26%
33°C
$65 Vol.
30%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high in Wuhan on June 16 clustered near 32–33 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty between these thresholds. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover from approaching frontal systems, will govern peak heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June baselines average near 30 °C, but recent model runs show slight upward adjustments from clearer skies and stronger insolation. Traders weigh the narrow spread against potential revisions in afternoon convective development or observational data from local stations, which resolve the market using official maximum readings. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$211Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high in Wuhan on June 16 clustered near 32–33 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty between these thresholds. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover from approaching frontal systems, will govern peak heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June baselines average near 30 °C, but recent model runs show slight upward adjustments from clearer skies and stronger insolation. Traders weigh the narrow spread against potential revisions in afternoon convective development or observational data from local stations, which resolve the market using official maximum readings. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$211Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high in Wuhan on June 16 clustered near 32–33 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting tight uncertainty between these thresholds. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover from approaching frontal systems, will govern peak heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June baselines average near 30 °C, but recent model runs show slight upward adjustments from clearer skies and stronger insolation. Traders weigh the narrow spread against potential revisions in afternoon convective development or observational data from local stations, which resolve the market using official maximum readings. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities as the event nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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