Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze cooling that caps afternoon peaks near the 26 °C climatological average. Trader positioning spreads across 24–28 °C brackets because small shifts in timing of any clearing skies, wind direction changes, or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily high by 2–3 °C. Official resolution uses Turkish Meteorological Service station data, so model bias relative to that site remains a key uncertainty two days out.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
25°C 32%
26°C 16%
27°C 16%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
32%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 32%
26°C 16%
27°C 16%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
21°C or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$36 Vol.
32%
26°C
$41 Vol.
16%
27°C
$15 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$424 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze cooling that caps afternoon peaks near the 26 °C climatological average. Trader positioning spreads across 24–28 °C brackets because small shifts in timing of any clearing skies, wind direction changes, or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily high by 2–3 °C. Official resolution uses Turkish Meteorological Service station data, so model bias relative to that site remains a key uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$510Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze cooling that caps afternoon peaks near the 26 °C climatological average. Trader positioning spreads across 24–28 °C brackets because small shifts in timing of any clearing skies, wind direction changes, or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily high by 2–3 °C. Official resolution uses Turkish Meteorological Service station data, so model bias relative to that site remains a key uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$510Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze cooling that caps afternoon peaks near the 26 °C climatological average. Trader positioning spreads across 24–28 °C brackets because small shifts in timing of any clearing skies, wind direction changes, or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily high by 2–3 °C. Official resolution uses Turkish Meteorological Service station data, so model bias relative to that site remains a key uncertainty two days out.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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