Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul’s June 15 maximum will most likely peak between 28–30 °C under sunny conditions and light southerly flow, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. June climatology places average daily highs near 25–27 °C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies driven by stable high pressure and limited cloud cover rather than an intense heatwave. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow range, with only small spread from variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing; newer runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the concentrated trader positioning around 28–30 °C while assigning low odds to extremes outside 26–31 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 38%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
24%
29°C
38%
30°C
26%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
26°C or below
$269 Vol.
3%
27°C
$451 Vol.
8%
28°C
$336 Vol.
24%
29°C
$513 Vol.
38%
30°C
$733 Vol.
26%
31°C
$589 Vol.
6%
32°C
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,069 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$334 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul’s June 15 maximum will most likely peak between 28–30 °C under sunny conditions and light southerly flow, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. June climatology places average daily highs near 25–27 °C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies driven by stable high pressure and limited cloud cover rather than an intense heatwave. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow range, with only small spread from variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing; newer runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the concentrated trader positioning around 28–30 °C while assigning low odds to extremes outside 26–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$6,022Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul’s June 15 maximum will most likely peak between 28–30 °C under sunny conditions and light southerly flow, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. June climatology places average daily highs near 25–27 °C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies driven by stable high pressure and limited cloud cover rather than an intense heatwave. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow range, with only small spread from variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing; newer runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the concentrated trader positioning around 28–30 °C while assigning low odds to extremes outside 26–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,022Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul’s June 15 maximum will most likely peak between 28–30 °C under sunny conditions and light southerly flow, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. June climatology places average daily highs near 25–27 °C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies driven by stable high pressure and limited cloud cover rather than an intense heatwave. Model consensus remains tight on this narrow range, with only small spread from variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing; newer runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the concentrated trader positioning around 28–30 °C while assigning low odds to extremes outside 26–31 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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