Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 30–31°C as the most probable maximum for Milan on June 14, with recent runs indicating stable high pressure and light westerly flow limiting further warming. These values sit modestly above the long-term June climatology of 26–28°C for the Po Valley, reflecting typical early-summer radiative heating under mostly clear skies rather than an anomalous heat episode. Minor model spread around 29–32°C supports the current market distribution, while the low odds on 33°C or higher reflect limited potential for intensification absent stronger southerly advection or delayed cloud cover. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria before evening observations close the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on June 14?
30°C 63%
31°C 20%
29°C 10.8%
32°C 1.8%
$27,140 Vol.
$27,140 Vol.
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
63%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 63%
31°C 20%
29°C 10.8%
32°C 1.8%
$27,140 Vol.
$27,140 Vol.
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
63%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 30–31°C as the most probable maximum for Milan on June 14, with recent runs indicating stable high pressure and light westerly flow limiting further warming. These values sit modestly above the long-term June climatology of 26–28°C for the Po Valley, reflecting typical early-summer radiative heating under mostly clear skies rather than an anomalous heat episode. Minor model spread around 29–32°C supports the current market distribution, while the low odds on 33°C or higher reflect limited potential for intensification absent stronger southerly advection or delayed cloud cover. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria before evening observations close the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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