Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including ECMWF and GFS show Milan highs clustering near 30–32°C for June 15, driven by persistent high pressure over the Po Valley and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or weak northerly flow create the tight market distribution, with 31°C holding the plurality as the consensus peak. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects and exact timing of any diurnal maximum add further uncertainty ahead of official station readings. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on June 15?
31°C 40%
30°C 32%
32°C 23%
29°C or below 5.0%
29°C or below
5%
30°C
32%
31°C
40%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 32%
32°C 23%
29°C or below 5.0%
29°C or below
5%
30°C
32%
31°C
40%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including ECMWF and GFS show Milan highs clustering near 30–32°C for June 15, driven by persistent high pressure over the Po Valley and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or weak northerly flow create the tight market distribution, with 31°C holding the plurality as the consensus peak. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects and exact timing of any diurnal maximum add further uncertainty ahead of official station readings. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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