PAGASA's extended outlook and sub-seasonal forecast for June 11–17 project slightly above-average temperatures over Luzon, with Manila highs of 33–34°C expected on June 15 amid southwest monsoon flow and 40% rain chance. This consensus, reinforced by typical June climatology of 32°C averages and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C and 32°C outcomes. High humidity, possible afternoon convection, and urban heat moderation reduce odds of 35°C-plus readings, while any last-minute clearing could shift probabilities modestly higher before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 15 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 15 juin ?
33°C 45%
32°C 27%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
45%
34°C
20%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 27%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
28°C ou moins
$450 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$211 Vol.
1%
30°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$482 Vol.
4%
32°C
$167 Vol.
27%
33°C
$141 Vol.
45%
34°C
$794 Vol.
20%
35°C
$415 Vol.
3%
36°C
$138 Vol.
1%
37°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou plus
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook and sub-seasonal forecast for June 11–17 project slightly above-average temperatures over Luzon, with Manila highs of 33–34°C expected on June 15 amid southwest monsoon flow and 40% rain chance. This consensus, reinforced by typical June climatology of 32°C averages and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C and 32°C outcomes. High humidity, possible afternoon convection, and urban heat moderation reduce odds of 35°C-plus readings, while any last-minute clearing could shift probabilities modestly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$3,023Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook and sub-seasonal forecast for June 11–17 project slightly above-average temperatures over Luzon, with Manila highs of 33–34°C expected on June 15 amid southwest monsoon flow and 40% rain chance. This consensus, reinforced by typical June climatology of 32°C averages and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C and 32°C outcomes. High humidity, possible afternoon convection, and urban heat moderation reduce odds of 35°C-plus readings, while any last-minute clearing could shift probabilities modestly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,023Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's extended outlook and sub-seasonal forecast for June 11–17 project slightly above-average temperatures over Luzon, with Manila highs of 33–34°C expected on June 15 amid southwest monsoon flow and 40% rain chance. This consensus, reinforced by typical June climatology of 32°C averages and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C and 32°C outcomes. High humidity, possible afternoon convection, and urban heat moderation reduce odds of 35°C-plus readings, while any last-minute clearing could shift probabilities modestly higher before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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