Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate Karachi’s maximum temperature on June 14 will align closely with the long-term June climatological average of 34–36 °C, driven by typical pre-monsoon conditions including strong solar insolation, moderate humidity, and consistent sea-breeze moderation. This consensus underpins the market’s 98.9 % implied probability for the 35 °C outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational trends and ensemble model agreement. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised afternoon observations could shift the peak outside the narrow 35 °C threshold, though current guidance shows limited divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Karachi on June 14?
35°C 98.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$22,256 Vol.
$22,256 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 98.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$22,256 Vol.
$22,256 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate Karachi’s maximum temperature on June 14 will align closely with the long-term June climatological average of 34–36 °C, driven by typical pre-monsoon conditions including strong solar insolation, moderate humidity, and consistent sea-breeze moderation. This consensus underpins the market’s 98.9 % implied probability for the 35 °C outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational trends and ensemble model agreement. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised afternoon observations could shift the peak outside the narrow 35 °C threshold, though current guidance shows limited divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes