Traders overwhelmingly favor a 13°C minimum in Paris on June 14, reflecting consensus across official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, which project overnight lows near 12.8–13°C (55°F) under mild, mostly clear conditions with light winds. Daytime highs are expected around 25–26°C, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region where average June lows hover near 13°C. This market-implied probability exceeds 99% because multiple independent model runs and observational data show little deviation from that threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted nocturnal cooling event, such as rapid radiational cooling under unexpectedly clear, calm skies or a sharper-than-expected northerly flow, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 14 juin ?
13°C 99.8%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
9°C ou moins
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
13°C 99.8%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
9°C ou moins
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor a 13°C minimum in Paris on June 14, reflecting consensus across official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, which project overnight lows near 12.8–13°C (55°F) under mild, mostly clear conditions with light winds. Daytime highs are expected around 25–26°C, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region where average June lows hover near 13°C. This market-implied probability exceeds 99% because multiple independent model runs and observational data show little deviation from that threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted nocturnal cooling event, such as rapid radiational cooling under unexpectedly clear, calm skies or a sharper-than-expected northerly flow, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes