Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models point to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 16°C. Persistent winter westerlies and a moderating South Atlantic influence keep daytime highs close to the June climatological average of 16–17°C, while limited insolation and possible morning fog suppress stronger warming. Recent runs show no significant warm advection or berg-wind events that would push readings above 18°C, and no deep cold front is expected to drop the high below 15°C. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly any changes in cloud cover or wind direction that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 15 juin ?
16°C 50%
17°C 27%
15°C 13%
18°C 5.8%
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
13%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 27%
15°C 13%
18°C 5.8%
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
13%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models point to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 16°C. Persistent winter westerlies and a moderating South Atlantic influence keep daytime highs close to the June climatological average of 16–17°C, while limited insolation and possible morning fog suppress stronger warming. Recent runs show no significant warm advection or berg-wind events that would push readings above 18°C, and no deep cold front is expected to drop the high below 15°C. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly any changes in cloud cover or wind direction that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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