**Subtropical monsoon conditions in mid-June place Guangzhou’s daily maximum near the climatological 30–31 °C baseline, with the market’s tight clustering around 29–30 °C reflecting modest forecast uncertainty from afternoon convection.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate a warm, humid airmass with light northeasterly flow, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and typical June insolation. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover during peak heating hours frequently trim the highest readings by 1–2 °C, creating the narrow spread between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects at measurement sites can add a small positive bias on clearer afternoons, while stronger convective activity or thicker cloud decks favors the lower side. With resolution occurring in less than 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observatory updates that show only limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger steering pattern or typhoon influence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
28°C 14%
31°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
11%
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
28°C 14%
31°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
22°C or below
$650 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$213 Vol.
1%
26°C
$416 Vol.
3%
27°C
$266 Vol.
5%
28°C
$369 Vol.
14%
29°C
$346 Vol.
26%
30°C
$135 Vol.
28%
31°C
$251 Vol.
12%
32°C or higher
$1,415 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical monsoon conditions in mid-June place Guangzhou’s daily maximum near the climatological 30–31 °C baseline, with the market’s tight clustering around 29–30 °C reflecting modest forecast uncertainty from afternoon convection.**
Official guidance and ensemble models indicate a warm, humid airmass with light northeasterly flow, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and typical June insolation. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover during peak heating hours frequently trim the highest readings by 1–2 °C, creating the narrow spread between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects at measurement sites can add a small positive bias on clearer afternoons, while stronger convective activity or thicker cloud decks favors the lower side. With resolution occurring in less than 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observatory updates that show only limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger steering pattern or typhoon influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,326Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical monsoon conditions in mid-June place Guangzhou’s daily maximum near the climatological 30–31 °C baseline, with the market’s tight clustering around 29–30 °C reflecting modest forecast uncertainty from afternoon convection.**
Official guidance and ensemble models indicate a warm, humid airmass with light northeasterly flow, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and typical June insolation. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover during peak heating hours frequently trim the highest readings by 1–2 °C, creating the narrow spread between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects at measurement sites can add a small positive bias on clearer afternoons, while stronger convective activity or thicker cloud decks favors the lower side. With resolution occurring in less than 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observatory updates that show only limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger steering pattern or typhoon influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,326Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical monsoon conditions in mid-June place Guangzhou’s daily maximum near the climatological 30–31 °C baseline, with the market’s tight clustering around 29–30 °C reflecting modest forecast uncertainty from afternoon convection.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate a warm, humid airmass with light northeasterly flow, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and typical June insolation. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover during peak heating hours frequently trim the highest readings by 1–2 °C, creating the narrow spread between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects at measurement sites can add a small positive bias on clearer afternoons, while stronger convective activity or thicker cloud decks favors the lower side. With resolution occurring in less than 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observatory updates that show only limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger steering pattern or typhoon influence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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