Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 72°F in San Francisco on June 14 under sunny skies and moderate onshore flow. This places the 72-73°F bin slightly ahead of 70-71°F and 74-75°F, reflecting tight clustering around the seasonal marine-influenced norm of roughly 70°F. Key differentiating factors include the depth and persistence of the marine layer, which brings cooler Pacific air and potential afternoon fog or stratus that can cap temperatures below 72°F, versus any temporary offshore wind component or clearer conditions that could allow readings to edge into the mid-70s. Recent mid-week warmth across the broader Bay Area has given way to renewed onshore influence, keeping extremes above 76°F or below 68°F at low probability in the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 22%
68-69°F 7%
$10,271 Vol.
$10,271 Vol.
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 22%
68-69°F 7%
$10,271 Vol.
$10,271 Vol.
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 72°F in San Francisco on June 14 under sunny skies and moderate onshore flow. This places the 72-73°F bin slightly ahead of 70-71°F and 74-75°F, reflecting tight clustering around the seasonal marine-influenced norm of roughly 70°F. Key differentiating factors include the depth and persistence of the marine layer, which brings cooler Pacific air and potential afternoon fog or stratus that can cap temperatures below 72°F, versus any temporary offshore wind component or clearer conditions that could allow readings to edge into the mid-70s. Recent mid-week warmth across the broader Bay Area has given way to renewed onshore influence, keeping extremes above 76°F or below 68°F at low probability in the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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