PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila points to a June 17 high near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the southwest monsoon's early influence bringing scattered convection and moderating solar heating. This aligns with historical June averages of 32–34°C and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (30%) and 35°C (28%), with 33°C and 36°C close behind. Key variables include exact cloud-cover timing, localized rainfall intensity, and any model shifts in steering flow that could allow brief clear spells to push peaks higher or suppress them. Updated PAGASA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 17?
34°C 38%
35°C 28%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 juin 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
28%
36°C
12%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
35°C 28%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 juin 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
1%
31°C
$97 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C
$8 Vol.
18%
34°C
$24 Vol.
38%
35°C
$34 Vol.
28%
36°C
$0 Vol.
12%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila points to a June 17 high near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the southwest monsoon's early influence bringing scattered convection and moderating solar heating. This aligns with historical June averages of 32–34°C and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (30%) and 35°C (28%), with 33°C and 36°C close behind. Key variables include exact cloud-cover timing, localized rainfall intensity, and any model shifts in steering flow that could allow brief clear spells to push peaks higher or suppress them. Updated PAGASA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$58Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila points to a June 17 high near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the southwest monsoon's early influence bringing scattered convection and moderating solar heating. This aligns with historical June averages of 32–34°C and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (30%) and 35°C (28%), with 33°C and 36°C close behind. Key variables include exact cloud-cover timing, localized rainfall intensity, and any model shifts in steering flow that could allow brief clear spells to push peaks higher or suppress them. Updated PAGASA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila points to a June 17 high near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the southwest monsoon's early influence bringing scattered convection and moderating solar heating. This aligns with historical June averages of 32–34°C and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (30%) and 35°C (28%), with 33°C and 36°C close behind. Key variables include exact cloud-cover timing, localized rainfall intensity, and any model shifts in steering flow that could allow brief clear spells to push peaks higher or suppress them. Updated PAGASA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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