Forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF models currently favor a maximum of 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering on those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C, and boundary-layer mixing influenced by the nearby Alps. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of any clearing versus scattered showers introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 21°C and 22°C probabilities. Updated DWD or NCEP runs on the morning of June 15 will likely resolve the final reading used for market settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 36%
21°C 29%
23°C 16%
20°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
29%
22°C
36%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
21°C 29%
23°C 16%
20°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$207 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$692 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$552 Обс.
1%
19°C
$1,603 Обс.
3%
20°C
$1,212 Обс.
10%
21°C
$938 Обс.
29%
22°C
$630 Обс.
36%
23°C
$1,109 Обс.
16%
24°C
$469 Обс.
5%
25°C
$1,025 Обс.
1%
26°C or higher
$815 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF models currently favor a maximum of 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering on those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C, and boundary-layer mixing influenced by the nearby Alps. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of any clearing versus scattered showers introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 21°C and 22°C probabilities. Updated DWD or NCEP runs on the morning of June 15 will likely resolve the final reading used for market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,217Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF models currently favor a maximum of 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering on those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C, and boundary-layer mixing influenced by the nearby Alps. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of any clearing versus scattered showers introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 21°C and 22°C probabilities. Updated DWD or NCEP runs on the morning of June 15 will likely resolve the final reading used for market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,217Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF models currently favor a maximum of 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering on those two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, which can alter peak heating by 1–2°C, and boundary-layer mixing influenced by the nearby Alps. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of any clearing versus scattered showers introduce the uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 21°C and 22°C probabilities. Updated DWD or NCEP runs on the morning of June 15 will likely resolve the final reading used for market settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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