Latest forecasts from sources like the BBC indicate a high of 22°C in Munich on June 15 under sunny intervals and gentle westerly breezes, aligning with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby probabilities for 21°C (29%) and 23°C (16%) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation and surface heating rates, alongside variable boundary-layer mixing from light winds. Regional high-pressure influences promote subsidence and clearer skies, while any residual moisture or slight shifts in the jet stream position could alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C through changes in sensible heat flux. Historical mid-June averages near 22°C provide context, but short-term model runs emphasizing these variables drive the tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 36%
21°C 29%
23°C 16%
20°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
29%
22°C
36%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
21°C 29%
23°C 16%
20°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$207 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$763 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$552 Обс.
1%
19°C
$1,782 Обс.
2%
20°C
$1,212 Обс.
11%
21°C
$952 Обс.
29%
22°C
$630 Обс.
36%
23°C
$1,125 Обс.
16%
24°C
$475 Обс.
5%
25°C
$1,025 Обс.
1%
26°C or higher
$815 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from sources like the BBC indicate a high of 22°C in Munich on June 15 under sunny intervals and gentle westerly breezes, aligning with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby probabilities for 21°C (29%) and 23°C (16%) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation and surface heating rates, alongside variable boundary-layer mixing from light winds. Regional high-pressure influences promote subsidence and clearer skies, while any residual moisture or slight shifts in the jet stream position could alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C through changes in sensible heat flux. Historical mid-June averages near 22°C provide context, but short-term model runs emphasizing these variables drive the tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,255Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from sources like the BBC indicate a high of 22°C in Munich on June 15 under sunny intervals and gentle westerly breezes, aligning with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby probabilities for 21°C (29%) and 23°C (16%) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation and surface heating rates, alongside variable boundary-layer mixing from light winds. Regional high-pressure influences promote subsidence and clearer skies, while any residual moisture or slight shifts in the jet stream position could alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C through changes in sensible heat flux. Historical mid-June averages near 22°C provide context, but short-term model runs emphasizing these variables drive the tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,255Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from sources like the BBC indicate a high of 22°C in Munich on June 15 under sunny intervals and gentle westerly breezes, aligning with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Nearby probabilities for 21°C (29%) and 23°C (16%) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation and surface heating rates, alongside variable boundary-layer mixing from light winds. Regional high-pressure influences promote subsidence and clearer skies, while any residual moisture or slight shifts in the jet stream position could alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C through changes in sensible heat flux. Historical mid-June averages near 22°C provide context, but short-term model runs emphasizing these variables drive the tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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