Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on July 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 1?
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
59°F or below
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
59°F or below
$18 ปริมาณ
2%
60-61°F
$19 ปริมาณ
2%
62-63°F
$38 ปริมาณ
14%
64-65°F
$87 ปริมาณ
26%
66-67°F
$106 ปริมาณ
33%
68-69°F
$302 ปริมาณ
18%
70-71°F
$1 ปริมาณ
6%
72-73°F
$655 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$1,020 ปริมาณ
1%
76-77°F
$316 ปริมาณ
1%
78°F or higher
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,702วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,702วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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