**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow forecast window of 78–81°F for Miami’s overnight low on July 1, 2026, with 80–81°F and 78–79°F outcomes nearly tied at 45.5% and 44.5%.** Official guidance from AccuWeather and National Weather Service sources shows typical early-July conditions featuring light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This setup keeps the low temperature close to the climatological normal of roughly 79–80°F, with the marine influence from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream preventing sharper drops. Model consensus points to dew points in the mid- to upper 70s, anchoring the minimum near 79–81°F absent stronger onshore flow or showers that could either suppress or slightly elevate readings. The tight spread between the two leading bins reflects residual uncertainty in the final model runs regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Lower outcomes below 78°F would require atypical clear, calm conditions or a transient drier air mass, while higher readings would need increased cloud cover or stalled convection—scenarios currently assigned lower probabilities. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely resolve the final range before markets close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on July 1?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 1?
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 9%
76-77°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 9%
76-77°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
69°F or below
$32 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$47 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$67 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
78-79°F
$19 ปริมาณ
36%
80-81°F
$6 ปริมาณ
33%
82-83°F
$44 ปริมาณ
9%
84-85°F
$21 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
88°F or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow forecast window of 78–81°F for Miami’s overnight low on July 1, 2026, with 80–81°F and 78–79°F outcomes nearly tied at 45.5% and 44.5%.** Official guidance from AccuWeather and National Weather Service sources shows typical early-July conditions featuring light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This setup keeps the low temperature close to the climatological normal of roughly 79–80°F, with the marine influence from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream preventing sharper drops.
Model consensus points to dew points in the mid- to upper 70s, anchoring the minimum near 79–81°F absent stronger onshore flow or showers that could either suppress or slightly elevate readings. The tight spread between the two leading bins reflects residual uncertainty in the final model runs regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Lower outcomes below 78°F would require atypical clear, calm conditions or a transient drier air mass, while higher readings would need increased cloud cover or stalled convection—scenarios currently assigned lower probabilities. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely resolve the final range before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$322วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow forecast window of 78–81°F for Miami’s overnight low on July 1, 2026, with 80–81°F and 78–79°F outcomes nearly tied at 45.5% and 44.5%.** Official guidance from AccuWeather and National Weather Service sources shows typical early-July conditions featuring light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This setup keeps the low temperature close to the climatological normal of roughly 79–80°F, with the marine influence from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream preventing sharper drops.
Model consensus points to dew points in the mid- to upper 70s, anchoring the minimum near 79–81°F absent stronger onshore flow or showers that could either suppress or slightly elevate readings. The tight spread between the two leading bins reflects residual uncertainty in the final model runs regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Lower outcomes below 78°F would require atypical clear, calm conditions or a transient drier air mass, while higher readings would need increased cloud cover or stalled convection—scenarios currently assigned lower probabilities. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely resolve the final range before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$322วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow forecast window of 78–81°F for Miami’s overnight low on July 1, 2026, with 80–81°F and 78–79°F outcomes nearly tied at 45.5% and 44.5%.** Official guidance from AccuWeather and National Weather Service sources shows typical early-July conditions featuring light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. This setup keeps the low temperature close to the climatological normal of roughly 79–80°F, with the marine influence from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream preventing sharper drops. Model consensus points to dew points in the mid- to upper 70s, anchoring the minimum near 79–81°F absent stronger onshore flow or showers that could either suppress or slightly elevate readings. The tight spread between the two leading bins reflects residual uncertainty in the final model runs regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Lower outcomes below 78°F would require atypical clear, calm conditions or a transient drier air mass, while higher readings would need increased cloud cover or stalled convection—scenarios currently assigned lower probabilities. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely resolve the final range before markets close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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