Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 28?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 28?
11°C 53%
12°C 33%
10°C 16.4%
13°C 2.0%
NOWE
$32,516 Wol.
NOWE
$32,516 Wol.
Jun 28, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
16%
11°C
53%
12°C
33%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 53%
12°C 33%
10°C 16.4%
13°C 2.0%
NOWE
$32,516 Wol.
NOWE
$32,516 Wol.
Jun 28, 2026
6°C or below
$3,794 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$120 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$419 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$833 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$8,965 Wol.
16%
11°C
$5,174 Wol.
53%
12°C
$5,749 Wol.
33%
13°C
$4,210 Wol.
2%
14°C
$1,746 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$870 Wol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$637 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,516Data zakończenia
Jun 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$32,516Data zakończenia
Jun 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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