Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 27?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 27?
30°C 45%
29°C 27%
31°C 22%
32°C 4.5%
NOWE
$49,139 Wol.
NOWE
$49,139 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
27%
30°C
45%
31°C
22%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
29°C 27%
31°C 22%
32°C 4.5%
NOWE
$49,139 Wol.
NOWE
$49,139 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
25°C or below
$1,962 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,037 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,441 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$4,020 Wol.
4%
29°C
$7,158 Wol.
27%
30°C
$7,643 Wol.
45%
31°C
$8,774 Wol.
22%
32°C
$6,061 Wol.
5%
33°C
$7,713 Wol.
2%
34°C
$1,920 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$408 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,139Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$49,139Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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