Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on June 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 26?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$95,956 Wol.
$95,956 Wol.
Jun 26, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$95,956 Wol.
$95,956 Wol.
Jun 26, 2026
31°C or below
$2,083 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$3,526 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$11,056 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$15,365 Wol.
100%
35°C
$18,728 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$12,303 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$19,247 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$2,747 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$1,280 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$7,981 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,640 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$95,956Data zakończenia
Jun 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$95,956Data zakończenia
Jun 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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